When will the coup fall? … “5” – Al-Tajir Sudanese newspaper, Sudan news

When will the coup fall?… “5”

Mahdi Rabeh

“How can we find a solution to the problem of rapid support within the framework of a long-term vision of civil and democratic transformation that brings about justice and peace and the interference of all arms bearers in the political and economic process directly or through the use of political money in the future? ”


The above question raised at the end of the previous article of this series is also valid as an introduction to this article because it mainly deals with one of the most important elements of the coup camp, namely the armed movements that the Juba- signed peace agreement in October 2020 AD and in a more general way the problematic relationship between all arms bearers, if they are outside the system. with power, wealth and society in the context of the project of transformation into a modern democratic state, the state of citizenship and the rule of law.

In a solid research article by dr. Magdi Al-Jazouli concluded that the real dilemma that stood in the way of the armed movements was to develop into successful rural revolutions, as happened in other similar African experiences such as Guinea-Bissau and later Uganda. , Ethiopia and Eritrea, and its expansion into the country to form a parallel state that competes with the central state and is able to rise from the pace of its struggle with it until it reaches a specific historical point in which it is capable is to defeat it and replace it to download its slogans to address real grievances for basic segments of society that are excluded from access to basic services and removed from the production cycle and deprived of any opportunity to socialize learn to move towards programs of social change real and radical, due – meaning the reasons for the failure – in that it was originally founded in an effort by a limited paa r leaders to address historical elite grievances related to the division of power and wealth in the center, explicitly expressed in the black book published in the late nineties of the last century, which some mentioned, He called the describes “ceiling of petty-bourgeois ambitions”, which weakened its popular support on the ground and the possibility that it could seize competent areas and settle in it to lay the foundations of the state. Consequently, the alternative has transformed it into unstable, anxious fighting forces that need constant movement and that do not have permanent sources of resources, which has led many of them to plunder and violate the rights of citizens, some of which may amount to crimes. . against humanity, although they are not comparable to the seriousness of what the regime forces have committed. Salvation, or livelihood, through participation in armed conflicts in neighboring countries for a fee, South Sudan and Libya as models, which have turned a number of them into battles tribal entities more like private companies owned by individuals, of who some have reduced the goals and path of these entities to serve their own interests to suit the whims of their inflated selves.

Although the issues for which many esteemed Sudanese took up arms in the face of injustice are real and undisputed, and that many sincere people sacrificed their lives for them, this did not prevent the dictatorial authority from carrying out its activities of a warlike nature in its to exploit favor. to consolidate the foundations of his crumbling rule by using them as justifications. It makes sense to adopt more violent repressive measures against the peaceful and resilient civilian movement and a source of accumulation of wealth for some of its elements that governs the provisions of the extraordinary security bursary far from any possible oversight. For humor and sarcasm in Darfur city councils to this day.

This long historical introduction is very necessary to understand the tension that arose between the leaders of these movements and the leaders of the civil December revolution after the success of the unprecedented popular uprising through its peaceful means in which decades of armed struggle could not achieve, which for some has turned into a state of psychosis, and is also necessary To understand the reasons for the isolation of some of these leaders from a large part of their membership of the enlightened youth who together with their fellow revolutionaries (components) continued to guard the barriers and advance the ranks in peaceful demonstrations, while the forces attached to the same movement stood on the other side and aimed their guns at them, in a unique surrealistic decrease, the uniqueness of the complexity of the scene current politician.

Most importantly, in my estimation, this analysis clearly explains the reasons that prompted some of the signers of the Juba Peace, and despite the comprehensiveness of the agreement and its texts addressing the roots of the crisis and the fundamental national issues of choosing the easy and short path to achieve the elite goals of its leaders in alliance with the military or paramilitary junta (army or rapid support) and participation in The preparation and implementation of the coup instead of the long thorny path of civil democratic transformation that addresses the issues of the marginalized stakeholders, and explains his concern about the likely exit from power after the first elections and his desire to establish rather an authoritarian regime that enables them to influence everyone with iron and enforce fire instead of promoting election programs that may not find. deaf ears and thus voices that save a minimum of face or perhaps justifications for their presence in the polls.

But on the other hand, we find that within these forces there is a broad stream that possesses the courage and integrity to support the mass movement and is ready to do whatever is necessary to transform these armed movements into civilian entities that have peaceful means. of competition. according to the rules of the democratic game to gain power to implement the desired change within the framework of the state Modern democracy, whose influence – i.e. this current – was manifested after the last Revolutionary Front conference in Damazin, where it draws up his vision and changes the position of the Revolutionary Front relative to the rejection of the coup by calling it “the takeover of power by force” and then bringing it to a center that is relatively isolated from the direct interactions of the conflict in The center is steadfast in the Juba agreement, which has no legal basis. Defense without a new constitutional framework to replace the constitutional document. It is based on the foundations of the democratic transition, which means that the position within the Revolutionary Front is also dynamic and unstable. and depending on the development of events, it will probably arrive in a moment.In the near future there is no full support for the democratization process and the re-civilization of the state, but in any case the bitter experience of the six months And what they have seen in terms of repression, corruption and economic empowerment of some of these movements, will all force to reach consensus on laws and regulations governing the relationship between arms bearers in general and the political authority and economic activities and push them around them to integrate. forces in the united army and subject to the rules of peaceful and honorable competition within the framework of a balanced and sound political process in the future What they see far, we will soon see.


When will the coup “4” fall?

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