Why are the Palestinians showing less interest in the 25th Knesset election?

The Palestinians do not show undue interest in the Knesset’s dissolution of itself and the agreement of the main parliamentary blocs to hold early elections on the first of next November. There is no speculation or case law on the outcome of the elections and the form of the next governing coalition, nor contradictory estimates about the impact it will have on the future of their national cause, or even on their livelihoods Every day, whether in the occupied West Bank or in the besieged sector, although it is logical to accept that they are interested in knowing who will come to the head of the real authority sitting on their chest, after their national authority has long been without authority.

Were it not for remnants of interest in the fate and tendencies of the “Arab vote in the 25th Knesset election” and a bit of curiosity about the fate of Benjamin Netanyahu in particular, we would not have seen any interest of any kind, otherwise than what had happened on similar previous occasions … The Israeli election process is going cold over the Palestinians This year, despite the rise in the temperature of their national cause, from time to time, due to the repeated confrontations in Jerusalem and its Noble Mosque, and the tension and escalation they cause at the Gaza borders and the outskirts of Jenin.

Three reasons behind the decline in Palestinian interest in the Israeli elections:

the first; This is the fifth quick election to take place in just three years (the first is on 9 April 2019, the second is on 17 September of the same year, the third is on 2 March 2020, the fourth is on 23 March, 2021, and the fifth is scheduled for November 1, 2022), which is all. It ended with the same balances in the sizes and weights of powers in the Knesset, and revolved mainly around the person of Netanyahu and his role in the Israeli political system.

Second; The downfall of bets that a government without Netanyahu is better for the Palestinians than a government led by the man who set a historical record in ruling Israel, including even David Ben-Gurion, one of the most prominent “founding fathers” of the state, has surpassed. .. The reports summarizing the “achievements” of the deliberative government led by Naftali. It showed that it was more aggressive than the successive Netanyahu governments, as settlement increased by 62 percent during its rule, and Palestinian homes were demolished at a rate that was 35 percent higher than what happened before, and the number transgressions of the Al-Aqsa Mosque and many transgressors doubled, until it reached the shores of the “temporary section” that is not Advertiser of the Haram.

In the first year of the Bennet government, there were 357 Palestinian martyrs (69 women, 79 children), including 257 in the Gaza Strip (the battle of the guard of the walls as Israel called them and the sword of Jerusalem according to Hamas) , and 100 in the West Bank, before Bennett said goodbye to his government and left his position at the head of the Yair Lapid circulation, the Palestinians lost 62 men, women and children (under 18) during the first half of this year. urging the Palestinians, after a difficult and bitter year that has elapsed since the founding of the Bennett-Lapid government, to express their fear of Netanyahu’s return and to prefer the continued existence of his opponents in power?

Third; This is reflected in the wave of frustration that has spread from within the “Green Line” to the West Bank, the Gaza Strip and the Palestinian diaspora, due to the division of the Arab Joint List, and the low rise of the “48 Arabs”. “to vote for the two competing lists (the joint and the united), which led to the loss of a third of the Arab seats in the Knesset … Frustration fueled by the” shocking “performance of the united led by Abbas Mansour, and news of the possibility of the emergence of new parties, or the possible failure of the three “joint” parties to reunite them, preserve their unity and rearrange their list.

There is nothing new but “more of the same” … It is the conclusion that the investigative reader of the results of public opinion polls that have swept Israel since the option of “dissolving the 24th Knesset” appeared on the horizon, and still too early elections, especially after the success of the ruling coalition, by blocking Netanyahu’s efforts to form an alternative government to a purely right-wing deliberative government, led by him, without resorting to the polls.

Most, if not all, polls agree on one result: Likud led by Netanyahu will dissolve first, consolidating its positions with five or six additional seats, with a very large difference from the party that will occupy second place ( Yesh Atid – Lapid), while there will be no dramatic development in terms of size and weight.The forces represented in the present Knesset, with a margin of error and right, with a seat or two, increase here and increase down there.

As for the conclusion on which the various polls are almost unanimous, it says: Netanyahu’s task of forming a government will not be easy, as the man will not reach the threshold (half plus one – 61 seats) unless the “big betrayal” takes place, and Ayelet Shaked leads “Yamana” to succeed Bennett. Retire from political life, to a government led by Netanyahu, then the man who has become the focus and subject of the last five election processes , be able to return to the head of government, leaving a sore throat in the throats of many Israelis, some Arabs and some Americans.

But the long experience with parties, elections and governing coalitions means that any observer of the Israeli scene does not abandon the possibility of surprises or leaps, and the surprises here do not relate to what the polls will yield, but rather what may happen. . morning after the election … Israel’s politicians showed And his parties, contrary to popular stereotypes, have a great deal of “political opportunism” and have mastered the art of jumping from trench to trench and the gun from shoulder to shoulder shoulder transfer. Who would have imagined that Benny Gantz at the head of “Blue and White” would bow his head after Netanyahu in the 2020 election, and who would have thought The leader of Yamina, the father of settlement and religious Zionism, would be a ally with an Arab party, which he counts as the “Muslim Brotherhood”, to reach the government and remain at its head How do we explain the submission of the far left: “Meretz” to a prime minister from the far right , and what is the apparent explanation for the “Labor” center – left’s acceptance of far-right rhetoric on the Palestinian issue, and its satisfaction with taking up positions a Social paradox Cultural, often out of reproach?

In principle, the Israeli right wing, with its religious and nationalist wings, has no problem forming a comprehensive government, with a majority of more than eighty delegates, and without Arabs or leftists (only about twenty delegates) … But the dispute over Netanyahu’s person, his behavior and his administration, is what revolves Without it … While the gap between the national-secular right-wing and the religious-haredi right-wing, it no longer leaves only a limited impact on the chances of to form the right. government, the most widely represented in the history of Israel, to the right, in its religious and national colors, has become dominant and covers the Israeli partisan map. .

Therefore, it is no coincidence that in recent years Israel has seen a repeat of the phenomenon of Yemeni governments, which are in opposition to it on the opposition seats in the Knesset, with right-wing parties of them. own kind, which no longer leaves the Palestinians the luxury of choosing between “vinegar” and “mustard”, as he says, popular as they are.

The Palestinians are looking at the colors of the seats in the 25th Knesset, and they do not see a difference in areas, nor differences in proposals … There is a consensus hanging over everyone’s heads, on compliance of “united” Jerusalem as the eternal capital of Israel “, and there is a unanimous rejection of the termination of the occupation and withdrawal to the borders of the Fourth From June 1967, the establishment of a sovereign and independent Palestinian state, and there is unanimity in rejecting the right of refugees to return to their homes, and there is coherence and competition against the “Israelization” of Jerusalem, the Judaization and settlement of the West Bank, and the siege of Gaza… There is coherence and complicity with the “apartheid” regime, as described by reports of prestigious international organizations.

The problem of the Palestinians with the Israeli political spectrum of all colors is that its components can differ on anything but their national cause, and that the drift of this spectrum to the right has left only a narrow marginal position on its maps, and that these leftists, themselves, are subjected to “brainwashing” operations. Right-wing, which sometimes makes it difficult to distinguish its rhetoric from the proposals of the far-right and the settlement lobby … Why do they care about the Israeli elections and ‘ a situation like this?

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